Crude spikes on Iran jitters
as Wall Street bleeds into Dalal Street's open.
- ↓Gift Nifty signals a gap-down open. Trading at 23,115 — roughly 100 points below Wednesday's close — with pivot S1 at 23,092 as the first meaningful cushion below.
- ↓OI wall 23,100–23,350 compresses the range. Break below 23,100 opens the 5-day swing low at 23,070; reclaim of 23,350 shifts short-term mechanics back to the bulls.
- ●US PPI at 18:00 IST — the session's swing anchor. Prior read was 1.4% MoM; consensus expects 0.7% — a beat reignites rate-fear and adds fuel to already-stressed IT and rate-sensitives.
- ↓Brent +2.6% to $94.28 compresses Oil & Gas margins. Sustained crude above $94 pressures downstream names while upstream beneficiaries face a cap from global growth anxiety.
Today's Trade Setups
★ Smart Chains · BetaPrevious Session
Sector Lens
Stocks in Focus
ADANIGREEN▼ BEAR
ZEEL▼ BEAR
AJANTPHARM▲ BULL
INDIANB▼ BEAR
CANBK▼ BEAR
ICICIGI▼ BEARPattern Sniper
MUTHOOTFIN5m
COROMANDEL15m
JINDALSAW5m
CYIENT15m
ICICIBANK15m
LMW15m
Overnight Wire
Key Developments
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F&O Pulse
Put writers stacked at 23,200 PE (0.59 Cr OI) — that's the floor. Call writers stacked at 23,300 CE (0.65 Cr) and 23,200 CE (0.43 Cr) — ceiling. The 23,300 max-pain magnet sits 86 pts above close: in a quiet session, that's where the market wants to gravitate. Decisive close outside 23,100–23,350 forces writer unwinding — a directional move follows.
Flows & VIX
Decode vs Reality
The bigger picture
A crude shock lands on an already fragile tape.
West Asia risk has repriced global assets overnight. Brent's 2.6% surge to $94.28 — driven by US-Iran strike fears and Hormuz passage anxiety — is the dominant force arriving at Thursday's open, amplified by a 1.6% S&P 500 decline. Everything today routes through the US PPI print at 18:00 IST; consensus expects a deceleration to 0.7% MoM from the prior 1.4%, and any upside surprise hardens the global rate narrative further.
The domestic bid from DIIs — net buyers of 6,159 Cr on Wednesday versus FII outflows of 4,566 Cr — provides the counterweight. That DII absorption is what keeps Nifty from a deeper technical breakdown; prior session low at 23,185 and pivot S1 at 23,125 define how much of that cushion gets tested at the open. India VIX at 15.63 signals measured, not panicked, hedging.
The sector rotation is legible: FMCG's 1.05% lead and private bank resilience at +0.72% point toward defensives and rate-sensitives, while energy, metals, realty, and media absorbed the selling. Crude volatility complicates Oil & Gas positioning on both sides; the cleaner rotation remains toward consumer staples and financials as long as the OI wall at 23,350 caps the upside.