Gift Nifty surges 1.5% as
Iran deal hopes crater crude.
- ↑Gift Nifty signals +1.5% gap-up open. Asia rally on US-Iran deal hopes lifts futures to 23,509, but the 5-day swing high at 23,582 is the first ceiling to clear.
- ●OI wall 23,050–23,300 defines the battleground. Spot closed inside this band at 23,161; max-pain at 23,200 keeps the tug-of-war tight through expiry positioning.
- ↓Inflation Rate YoY at 16:00 IST is the afternoon pivot. Consensus expects a jump to 4% from the prior 3.48%; a print above consensus reopens rate-sensitive pressure in banks and realty.
- ↓IT sector carries overnight drag into the open. INFY shed 3.86% Thursday, making IT the session's worst domestic sector; a gap-up that stalls here exposes that laggard status further.
Today's Trade Setups
★ Smart Chains · BetaPrevious Session
Sector Lens
Stocks in Focus
INFY▼ BEAR
BEML▼ BEAR
TORNTPHARM▲ BULL
BANKINDIA▼ BEAR
JBCHEPHARM▲ BULL
AJANTPHARM▲ BULLPattern Sniper
AEGISVOPAK5m
JAINREC5m
LATENTVIEW15m
IDEA5m
THERMAX15m
BSE15m
Overnight Wire
Key Developments
Upcoming Catalysts




F&O Pulse
Put writers stacked at 23,200 PE (0.71 Cr OI) — that's the floor. Call writers stacked at 23,200 CE (0.75 Cr) and 23,300 CE (0.68 Cr) — ceiling. The 23,200 max-pain magnet sits 39 pts above close: in a quiet session, that's where the market wants to gravitate. Decisive close outside 23,050–23,300 forces writer unwinding — a directional move follows.
Flows & VIX
Decode vs Reality
The bigger picture
Crude collapse reorders the risk hierarchy.
The dominant force this session is geopolitical, not macro. Brent's 5.7% overnight slide below $90 — its first sub-$90 print in months — is a direct consequence of US-Iran deal optimism compressing the geopolitical premium embedded in energy prices for much of 2025. Non-Iranian crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz surging 50% in June reinforces the supply side of that argument. Oil and Gas, Energy, and PSU names that carry crude as a cost input now face a reset in input-price assumptions.
The domestic floor is coming from DIIs, who absorbed 3,124 Cr Thursday against FII outflows of 2,125 Cr, producing a net positive 999 Cr. That absorption held spot Nifty above the prior session low of 23,072, which now acts as the near-term support thesis; a close below it would undermine the DII-bid narrative. Bank Nifty's marginal +0.14% against Nifty's -0.23% confirms that private banks are the sturdier pillar of domestic-liquidity defense.
The rotation story for today centres on pharma and media, both of which outperformed Thursday, with TORNTPHARM, JBCHEPHARM, and AJANTPHARM all gaining over 2%. Crude's compression eases input costs for healthcare and specialty chemicals, giving a fundamental tailwind to the sector leadership already established in the prior session. Everything pivots on the 16:00 IST CPI print — a beat above the 4% consensus re-prices rate expectations and reverses today's gap-up momentum selectively in rate-sensitive pockets.
